Alvaro Herrera Mendoza vs Jordan Rinaldi

August 4, 2017

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

957
(-33)
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza
Winner: Jordan Rinaldi
Submission
Round 1 • 2:01

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza-33
Jordan Rinaldi+37
1019
(+37)
Jordan Rinaldi

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza: -32Jordan Rinaldi: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvaro Herrera MendozaJordan Rinaldi
Total UFC Fights32
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO9571 018
ELO Change-32+34
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza: -22Jordan Rinaldi: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvaro Herrera MendozaJordan Rinaldi
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9771 005
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza: -52Jordan Rinaldi: +91

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvaro Herrera MendozaJordan Rinaldi
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:012:01
Win Type ELO1 0171 074
ELO Change-52+91
💡

What Happened

Jordan Rinaldi earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza: -61Jordan Rinaldi: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvaro Herrera MendozaJordan Rinaldi
Significant Strikes Landed26
Significant Strikes Attempted712
Total Strikes Landed27
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9781 047
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Jordan Rinaldi slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Jordan Rinaldi capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza: -28Jordan Rinaldi: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvaro Herrera MendozaJordan Rinaldi
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:23
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO796986
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza: -22Jordan Rinaldi: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvaro Herrera MendozaJordan Rinaldi
Days Since Last Fight394433
Activity ELO9781 010
ELO Change-22+19
💡

What Happened

Jordan Rinaldi demonstrated extended layoff with 433 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jordan Rinaldi capitalized on this activity level, while Alvaro Herrera Mendoza's 394-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza: -22Jordan Rinaldi: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvaro Herrera MendozaJordan Rinaldi
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 008
ELO Change-22+24
💡

What Happened

Jordan Rinaldi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alvaro Herrera Mendoza is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza: -22Jordan Rinaldi: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvaro Herrera MendozaJordan Rinaldi
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9771 005
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.