August 4, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 957 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:01 | 2:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 017 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +91 |
Jordan Rinaldi earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Jordan Rinaldi slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Jordan Rinaldi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 796 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 394 | 433 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +19 |
Jordan Rinaldi demonstrated extended layoff with 433 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jordan Rinaldi capitalized on this activity level, while Alvaro Herrera Mendoza's 394-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Jordan Rinaldi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alvaro Herrera Mendoza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

