July 6, 2016
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:52 | 3:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 069 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +82 |
Vicente Luque earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alvaro Herrera Mendoza was submitted.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Vicente Luque controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 13 total strikes, 25 vs 12 significant strikes. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 5:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 824 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -229 | +229 |
Vicente Luque dominated Alvaro Herrera Mendoza on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:32 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 229 | 201 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Vicente Luque demonstrated standard activity with 201 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Alvaro Herrera Mendoza's 229-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Vicente Luque extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alvaro Herrera Mendoza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.