Alvin Hines vs Jhonata Diniz

June 28, 2025

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

979
(-21)
Alvin Hines
Winner: Jhonata Diniz
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alvin Hines-21
Jhonata Diniz+22
1079
(+22)
Jhonata Diniz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Hines: -24Jhonata Diniz: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin HinesJhonata Diniz
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9761 107
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Jhonata Diniz's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jhonata Diniz for the expected result. Had Alvin Hines pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Hines: -19Jhonata Diniz: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin HinesJhonata Diniz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 044
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Hines: -28Jhonata Diniz: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin HinesJhonata Diniz
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9721 150
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Jhonata Diniz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Hines: -24Jhonata Diniz: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin HinesJhonata Diniz
Significant Strikes Landed82112
Significant Strikes Attempted259182
Total Strikes Landed83112
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9761 089
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Jhonata Diniz controlled the striking exchanges with 112 vs 83 total strikes, 112 vs 82 significant strikes, 61.5% vs 31.7% accuracy. Jhonata Diniz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Hines: -19Jhonata Diniz: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin HinesJhonata Diniz
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted100
Ground Control Time0:050:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9811 044
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Hines: -17Jhonata Diniz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin HinesJhonata Diniz
Days Since Last FightN/A224
Activity ELO9831 095
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

Jhonata Diniz demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jhonata Diniz capitalized on this activity level, while Alvin Hines's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Hines: -19Jhonata Diniz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin HinesJhonata Diniz
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9811 057
ELO Change-19+21
💡

What Happened

Jhonata Diniz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alvin Hines is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Hines: -19Jhonata Diniz: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin HinesJhonata Diniz
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 044
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.