Alvin Robinson vs Kenny Florian

July 6, 2007

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

973
(-27)
Alvin Robinson
Winner: Kenny Florian
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:30

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alvin Robinson-27
Kenny Florian+34
1130
(+34)
Kenny Florian

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Robinson: -25Kenny Florian: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin RobinsonKenny Florian
Total UFC Fights17
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9751 098
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Kenny Florian's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kenny Florian for the expected result. Had Alvin Robinson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Robinson: -18Kenny Florian: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin RobinsonKenny Florian
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Robinson: -27Kenny Florian: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin RobinsonKenny Florian
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:304:30
Win Type ELO9731 186
ELO Change-27+59
💡

What Happened

Kenny Florian earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Robinson: -56Kenny Florian: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin RobinsonKenny Florian
Significant Strikes Landed620
Significant Strikes Attempted1632
Total Strikes Landed1551
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9441 180
ELO Change-56+56
💡

What Happened

Kenny Florian controlled the striking exchanges with 51 vs 15 total strikes, 20 vs 6 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 37.5% accuracy. Kenny Florian capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Robinson: -36Kenny Florian: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin RobinsonKenny Florian
Takedowns Landed13
Takedowns Attempted15
Ground Control Time1:152:22
Ground Strikes Landed017
Ground ELO9641 234
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Kenny Florian controlled Alvin Robinson on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 2:22 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Robinson: -15Kenny Florian: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin RobinsonKenny Florian
Days Since Last FightN/A93
Activity ELO9851 146
ELO Change-15+36
💡

What Happened

Kenny Florian demonstrated solid activity levels with 93 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kenny Florian capitalized on this activity level, while Alvin Robinson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Robinson: -18Kenny Florian: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin RobinsonKenny Florian
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9821 076
ELO Change-18+21
💡

What Happened

Kenny Florian extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alvin Robinson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alvin Robinson: -18Kenny Florian: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlvin RobinsonKenny Florian
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.