March 8, 2025
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 203 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Amanda Lemos's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amanda Lemos for the expected result. Had Iasmin Lucindo pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 112 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 313 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Amanda Lemos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 234 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Amanda Lemos edged the striking exchanges with 12 vs 4 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 25.0% accuracy. Amanda Lemos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:58 | 4:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 263 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Amanda Lemos controlled Iasmin Lucindo on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 7:58 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 244 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Amanda Lemos demonstrated standard activity with 232 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Lemos capitalized on this activity level, while Iasmin Lucindo's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 144 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Amanda Lemos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Iasmin Lucindo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Iasmin Lucindo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 102 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.