April 22, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jessica Andrade's 14-fight experience advantage (21 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jessica Andrade for the expected result. Had Amanda Lemos pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 067 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:13 | 3:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 433 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +42 |
Jessica Andrade earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 283 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Amanda Lemos lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Jessica Andrade's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 203 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jessica Andrade edged out Amanda Lemos on the ground with 0:38 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 127 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +17 |
Jessica Andrade demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jessica Andrade capitalized on this activity level, while Amanda Lemos's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +22 |
Jessica Andrade extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amanda Lemos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Jessica Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.