July 15, 2017
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Leslie Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Leslie Smith's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Leslie Smith for the expected result. Had Amanda Lemos pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Leslie Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Leslie Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:53 | 2:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 965 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +72 |
Leslie Smith gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Leslie Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 101 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 192 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 928 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Leslie Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 114 vs 70 total strikes, 101 vs 68 significant strikes, 52.6% vs 64.2% accuracy. Leslie Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Leslie Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 1:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Leslie Smith controlled Amanda Lemos on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:28 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Leslie Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Leslie Smith demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Leslie Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Amanda Lemos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Leslie Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Leslie Smith extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amanda Lemos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Leslie Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

