February 16, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 206 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -30 |
Amanda Lemos overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mackenzie Dern.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 344 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Amanda Lemos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 263 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Amanda Lemos controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 21 significant strikes, 51.2% vs 38.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Amanda Lemos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:02 | 6:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 251 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Amanda Lemos edged out Mackenzie Dern on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 4:02 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 252 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Amanda Lemos demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Lemos capitalized on this activity level, while Mackenzie Dern's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 147 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Amanda Lemos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mackenzie Dern is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 105 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.