August 21, 2020
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 087 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Amanda Lemos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 129 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 102 | 138 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 048 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Amanda Lemos controlled the striking exchanges with 102 vs 138 total strikes, 83 vs 57 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Amanda Lemos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:22 | 6:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 148 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Amanda Lemos landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Amanda Lemos demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Lemos capitalized on this activity level, while Mizuki's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Amanda Lemos extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mizuki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Lemos | Mizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.