July 5, 2019
UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 279 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Amanda Nunes's 2-fight experience advantage (12 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amanda Nunes for the expected result. Had Holly Holm pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 363 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -8 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Amanda Nunes captured the UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:10 | 4:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 543 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -9 |
Amanda Nunes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 547 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Amanda Nunes controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 11 significant strikes, 48.6% vs 78.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Amanda Nunes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 445 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 1 287 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Amanda Nunes demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Nunes capitalized on this activity level, while Holly Holm's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 9 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 326 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -8 |
Amanda Nunes continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Holly Holm's now at 0.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 420 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.