December 10, 2021
UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 275 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +71 |
Julianna Pena overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Amanda Nunes.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 381 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +110 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Julianna Pena captured the UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:26 | 3:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 508 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +116 |
Julianna Pena earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:26, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Amanda Nunes was submitted.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 135 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 518 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Julianna Pena controlled the striking exchanges with 90 vs 58 total strikes, 79 vs 46 significant strikes, 58.5% vs 46.5% accuracy. Julianna Pena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:35 | 0:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 414 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Julianna Pena controlled Amanda Nunes on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:25 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 322 |
| Activity ELO | 1 294 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Julianna Pena demonstrated standard activity with 322 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Julianna Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Amanda Nunes's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 406 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +44 |
Julianna Pena extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amanda Nunes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 397 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.