July 29, 2022
UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 299 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Amanda Nunes's 7-fight experience advantage (17 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amanda Nunes for the expected result. Had Julianna Pena pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 412 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -10 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Amanda Nunes captured the UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 530 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Amanda Nunes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 85 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 154 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 126 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 574 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Amanda Nunes dominated the striking exchanges with 85 vs 60 significant strikes, 55.9% vs 39.0% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Amanda Nunes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:49 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 472 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Amanda Nunes dominated Julianna Pena on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 11:49 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 310 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -13 |
Amanda Nunes demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Nunes capitalized on this activity level, while Julianna Pena's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 414 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -7 |
Amanda Nunes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julianna Pena is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Julianna Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 404 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.