March 5, 2021
UFC Women's Featherweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Megan Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 323 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Amanda Nunes's 9-fight experience advantage (15 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amanda Nunes for the expected result. Had Megan Anderson pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Megan Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 418 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -4 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Amanda Nunes captured the UFC Women's Featherweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Megan Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:03 | 2:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 583 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -8 |
Amanda Nunes earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Megan Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 578 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Amanda Nunes controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 2 significant strikes, 72.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Amanda Nunes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Megan Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:42 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 512 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Amanda Nunes dominated Megan Anderson on the ground with 0:42 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Megan Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 274 | 371 |
| Activity ELO | 1 327 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Amanda Nunes demonstrated standard activity with 274 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Amanda Nunes capitalized on this activity level, while Megan Anderson's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Megan Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 12 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 443 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -4 |
Amanda Nunes extended her incredible 12-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Megan Anderson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Megan Anderson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 434 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.