Amanda Nunes vs Shayna Baszler

March 20, 2015

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1088
(+38)
Amanda Nunes
Winner: Amanda Nunes
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:56

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Amanda Nunes+38
Shayna Baszler-31
936
(-31)
Shayna Baszler

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Nunes: +25Shayna Baszler: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda NunesShayna Baszler
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 076951
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Amanda Nunes's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amanda Nunes for the expected result. Had Shayna Baszler pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Nunes: +19Shayna Baszler: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda NunesShayna Baszler
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 038962
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Nunes: +62Shayna Baszler: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda NunesShayna Baszler
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:561:56
Win Type ELO1 167939
ELO Change+62-26
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What Happened

Amanda Nunes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Nunes: +86Shayna Baszler: -86

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda NunesShayna Baszler
Significant Strikes Landed151
Significant Strikes Attempted178
Total Strikes Landed171
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 173828
ELO Change+86-86
💡

What Happened

Amanda Nunes controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 1 significant strikes, 88.2% vs 12.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Amanda Nunes capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Nunes: +39Shayna Baszler: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda NunesShayna Baszler
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:010:01
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 086916
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Nunes: +30Shayna Baszler: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda NunesShayna Baszler
Days Since Last Fight176204
Activity ELO1 079966
ELO Change+30-17
💡

What Happened

Amanda Nunes demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Nunes capitalized on this activity level, while Shayna Baszler's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Nunes: +20Shayna Baszler: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda NunesShayna Baszler
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 045964
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Amanda Nunes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shayna Baszler is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Nunes: +19Shayna Baszler: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda NunesShayna Baszler
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 038962
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.