September 8, 2017
UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 216 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Amanda Nunes's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amanda Nunes for the expected result. Had Valentina Shevchenko pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 261 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -11 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Amanda Nunes captured the UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 425 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Amanda Nunes receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 86 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 176 | 194 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 366 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Amanda Nunes edged the striking exchanges with 86 vs 72 significant strikes, 48.9% vs 37.1% accuracy. Amanda Nunes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:32 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 373 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Amanda Nunes edged out Valentina Shevchenko on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:32 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 253 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Amanda Nunes demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Nunes capitalized on this activity level, while Valentina Shevchenko's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 201 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -15 |
Amanda Nunes continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Valentina Shevchenko's now at 0.
| Metric | Amanda Nunes | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 135 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.