Amanda Ribas vs Katlyn Cerminara

May 13, 2022

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1123
(-19)
Amanda Ribas
Winner: Katlyn Cerminara
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Amanda Ribas-19
Katlyn Cerminara+22
1201
(+22)
Katlyn Cerminara

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Ribas: -28Katlyn Cerminara: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Total UFC Fights715
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO1 1341 229
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara's 8-fight experience advantage (15 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Katlyn Cerminara for the expected result. Had Amanda Ribas pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Ribas: -18Katlyn Cerminara: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0591 142
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Ribas: -8Katlyn Cerminara: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1941 285
ELO Change-8+8
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Katlyn Cerminara receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Ribas: -22Katlyn Cerminara: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Significant Strikes Landed5563
Significant Strikes Attempted169222
Total Strikes Landed8471
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0751 129
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara edged the striking exchanges with 63 vs 55 significant strikes. Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Ribas: -27Katlyn Cerminara: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted62
Ground Control Time4:490:06
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 2411 184
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara did not secure a significant ground advantage against Amanda Ribas on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Ribas: -13Katlyn Cerminara: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Days Since Last Fight196119
Activity ELO1 1401 332
ELO Change-13+31
💡

What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this activity level, while Amanda Ribas's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Ribas: -18Katlyn Cerminara: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0811 172
ELO Change-18+25
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What Happened

Katlyn Cerminara extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amanda Ribas is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Amanda Ribas: -19Katlyn Cerminara: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAmanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0571 134
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.