November 17, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 165 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -31 |
Amanda Ribas's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amanda Ribas for the expected result. Had Luana Pinheiro pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:53 | 3:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 238 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -27 |
Amanda Ribas gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 87 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 224 | 116 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 161 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Amanda Ribas controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 56 total strikes, 87 vs 55 significant strikes, 38.8% vs 47.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Amanda Ribas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 281 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Amanda Ribas landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 173 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Amanda Ribas demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Ribas capitalized on this activity level, while Luana Pinheiro's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 104 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Amanda Ribas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luana Pinheiro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Luana Pinheiro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.