October 11, 2019
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 126 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Amanda Ribas earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 206 | 145 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 113 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Amanda Ribas controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 50 total strikes, 74 vs 20 significant strikes, 35.9% vs 13.8% accuracy. Amanda Ribas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:46 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 206 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Amanda Ribas edged out Mackenzie Dern on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:46 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 518 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -24 |
Amanda Ribas demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Ribas capitalized on this activity level, while Mackenzie Dern's 518-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Amanda Ribas extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mackenzie Dern is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Mackenzie Dern |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

