January 22, 2021
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 137 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:54 | 0:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 166 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +120 |
Marina Rodriguez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 068 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -126 | +126 |
Marina Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 7 significant strikes, 41.7% vs 30.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:39 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 245 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Marina Rodriguez landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 137 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +34 |
Marina Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Amanda Ribas's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Marina Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amanda Ribas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 057 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.