July 10, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 180 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -22 |
Amanda Ribas overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paige VanZant.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:21 | 2:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 225 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -39 |
Amanda Ribas earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 194 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Amanda Ribas slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 85.7% vs 60.0% accuracy. Amanda Ribas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:08 | 0:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 281 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Amanda Ribas controlled Paige VanZant on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:08 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 539 |
| Activity ELO | 1 164 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -18 |
Amanda Ribas demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Amanda Ribas capitalized on this activity level, while Paige VanZant's 539-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 104 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -19 |
Amanda Ribas extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paige VanZant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amanda Ribas | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.