May 9, 2002
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amar Suloev | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Amar Suloev | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amar Suloev | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:59 | 2:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 946 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +82 |
Phil Baroni earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Amar Suloev | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 934 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Phil Baroni slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 47.8% vs 60.0% accuracy. Phil Baroni capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amar Suloev | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 951 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Phil Baroni edged out Amar Suloev on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:51 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amar Suloev | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 966 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Phil Baroni demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Phil Baroni capitalized on this activity level, while Amar Suloev's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amar Suloev | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 965 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Phil Baroni started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amar Suloev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amar Suloev | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.