May 16, 1996
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amaury Bitetti | Don Frye |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Don Frye's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Don Frye for the expected result. Had Amaury Bitetti pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amaury Bitetti | Don Frye |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amaury Bitetti | Don Frye |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 9:30 | 9:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 986 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +29 |
Don Frye earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 9:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Amaury Bitetti | Don Frye |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 964 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Don Frye dominated the striking exchanges with 82 vs 24 total strikes, 46 vs 2 significant strikes, 78.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Don Frye capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amaury Bitetti | Don Frye |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 34 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Don Frye controlled Amaury Bitetti on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 34 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amaury Bitetti | Don Frye |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 444 |
| ELO Change | -3 | +8 |
Don Frye demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Don Frye capitalized on this activity level, while Amaury Bitetti's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amaury Bitetti | Don Frye |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +23 |
Don Frye extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amaury Bitetti is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amaury Bitetti | Don Frye |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.