January 21, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Charlie Brenneman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 947 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Charlie Brenneman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Charlie Brenneman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 932 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Charlie Brenneman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Charlie Brenneman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 893 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Charlie Brenneman dominated the striking exchanges with 114 vs 25 total strikes, 26 vs 10 significant strikes, 74.3% vs 50.0% accuracy. Charlie Brenneman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Charlie Brenneman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 12:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 23 |
| Ground ELO | 859 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Charlie Brenneman dominated Amilcar Alves on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 12:17 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Charlie Brenneman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +34 |
Charlie Brenneman demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Charlie Brenneman capitalized on this activity level, while Amilcar Alves's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Charlie Brenneman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Charlie Brenneman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amilcar Alves is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Charlie Brenneman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.