August 27, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Mike Pierce's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Pierce for the expected result. Had Amilcar Alves pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:11 | 3:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 968 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +49 |
Mike Pierce earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Amilcar Alves was submitted.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 945 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Mike Pierce dominated the striking exchanges with 87 vs 12 total strikes, 31 vs 4 significant strikes, 66.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Mike Pierce capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 11:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 27 |
| Ground ELO | 913 | 1 302 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Mike Pierce dominated Amilcar Alves on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 11:59 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 160 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +29 |
Mike Pierce demonstrated solid activity levels with 160 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Pierce capitalized on this activity level, while Amilcar Alves's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +22 |
Mike Pierce extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amilcar Alves is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amilcar Alves | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

