Amilcar Alves vs Mike Pierce

August 27, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

966
(-34)
Amilcar Alves
Winner: Mike Pierce
Submission
Round 3 • 3:11

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Amilcar Alves-34
Mike Pierce+38
1121
(+38)
Mike Pierce

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Amilcar Alves: -23Mike Pierce: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAmilcar AlvesMike Pierce
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9771 115
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Mike Pierce's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Pierce for the expected result. Had Amilcar Alves pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Amilcar Alves: -19Mike Pierce: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAmilcar AlvesMike Pierce
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 050
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Amilcar Alves: -32Mike Pierce: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricAmilcar AlvesMike Pierce
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:113:11
Win Type ELO9681 130
ELO Change-32+49
💡

What Happened

Mike Pierce earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Amilcar Alves was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Amilcar Alves: -55Mike Pierce: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricAmilcar AlvesMike Pierce
Significant Strikes Landed431
Significant Strikes Attempted1047
Total Strikes Landed1287
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9451 156
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

Mike Pierce dominated the striking exchanges with 87 vs 12 total strikes, 31 vs 4 significant strikes, 66.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Mike Pierce capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Amilcar Alves: -87Mike Pierce: +87

Performance Statistics

MetricAmilcar AlvesMike Pierce
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time0:0011:59
Ground Strikes Landed327
Ground ELO9131 302
ELO Change-87+87
💡

What Happened

Mike Pierce dominated Amilcar Alves on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 11:59 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Amilcar Alves: -17Mike Pierce: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricAmilcar AlvesMike Pierce
Days Since Last FightN/A160
Activity ELO9831 099
ELO Change-17+29
💡

What Happened

Mike Pierce demonstrated solid activity levels with 160 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Pierce capitalized on this activity level, while Amilcar Alves's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Amilcar Alves: -19Mike Pierce: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAmilcar AlvesMike Pierce
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9811 062
ELO Change-19+22
💡

What Happened

Mike Pierce extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amilcar Alves is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Amilcar Alves: -19Mike Pierce: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAmilcar AlvesMike Pierce
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 050
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.