November 2, 2024
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amir Albazi | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 1 241 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Brandon Moreno's 11-fight experience advantage (17 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brandon Moreno for the expected result. Had Amir Albazi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amir Albazi | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amir Albazi | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 200 | 1 441 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Brandon Moreno earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amir Albazi | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 63 | 132 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 235 | 317 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 132 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 190 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Brandon Moreno dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 63 total strikes, 132 vs 63 significant strikes, 41.6% vs 26.8% accuracy. Brandon Moreno capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amir Albazi | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 279 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Amir Albazi | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 519 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 128 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +18 |
Brandon Moreno demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Moreno capitalized on this activity level, while Amir Albazi's 519-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amir Albazi | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 114 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Brandon Moreno started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amir Albazi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amir Albazi | Brandon Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.