September 28, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 107 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Dan Hardy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 141 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 102 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 071 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Dan Hardy controlled the striking exchanges with 102 vs 70 total strikes. Dan Hardy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 6:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Dan Hardy dominated Amir Sadollah on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:49 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 153 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +47 |
Dan Hardy demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Hardy capitalized on this activity level, while Amir Sadollah's 137-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Dan Hardy extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Amir Sadollah is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

