May 14, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Jorge Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 060 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Amir Sadollah's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amir Sadollah for the expected result. Had Jorge Lopez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Jorge Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Jorge Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 143 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Amir Sadollah receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Jorge Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Amir Sadollah controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 39 total strikes, 43.4% vs 52.5% accuracy. Amir Sadollah capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Jorge Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:52 | 8:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 077 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Amir Sadollah did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jorge Lopez on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:52 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Jorge Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 275 | 241 |
| Activity ELO | 1 176 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Amir Sadollah demonstrated standard activity with 275 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Amir Sadollah capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Lopez's 241-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Jorge Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 068 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Amir Sadollah started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Lopez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Jorge Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

