November 12, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Amir Sadollah's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amir Sadollah for the expected result. Had Peter Sobotta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Amir Sadollah earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 90 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 209 | 126 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 879 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Amir Sadollah dominated the striking exchanges with 104 vs 35 total strikes, 90 vs 34 significant strikes, 43.1% vs 27.0% accuracy. Amir Sadollah capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 3:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 062 | 857 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Amir Sadollah controlled Peter Sobotta on the ground with 0:47 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -11 |
Amir Sadollah demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Amir Sadollah capitalized on this activity level, while Peter Sobotta's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Amir Sadollah started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Peter Sobotta is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Amir Sadollah | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.