August 6, 2010
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 372 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Anderson Silva's 4-fight experience advantage (12 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anderson Silva for the expected result. Had Chael Sonnen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 397 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -5 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Anderson Silva captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 3:10 | 3:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 628 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -7 |
Anderson Silva earned a finish with a Submission in round 5 at 3:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Chael Sonnen was submitted.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 89 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 168 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 320 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 727 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
Chael Sonnen controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (320 vs 64 total strikes), significant strike advantage (89 vs 29). However, since Chael Sonnen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Anderson Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 19:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 72 |
| Ground ELO | 1 489 | 1 390 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Anderson Silva controlled Chael Sonnen on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:29 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 431 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -9 |
Anderson Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anderson Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Chael Sonnen's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 12 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 458 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -5 |
Anderson Silva extended his incredible 12-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Chael Sonnen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 220 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.