July 6, 2012
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 420 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Anderson Silva's 4-fight experience advantage (15 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anderson Silva for the expected result. Had Chael Sonnen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 461 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -5 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Anderson Silva captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:55 | 1:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 725 | 1 317 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -8 |
Anderson Silva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 793 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Chael Sonnen controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (87 vs 16 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (22 vs 15), superior accuracy (61.1% vs 50.0%). However, since Chael Sonnen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Anderson Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 5:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 557 | 1 464 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Anderson Silva landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 477 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Anderson Silva demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Anderson Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Chael Sonnen's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 15 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 597 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -3 |
Anderson Silva extended his incredible 15-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Chael Sonnen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Chael Sonnen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 263 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.