February 29, 2008
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Dan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 282 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Anderson Silva's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anderson Silva for the expected result. Had Dan Henderson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Dan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 294 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -10 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Anderson Silva captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Dan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:52 | 4:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 512 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -5 |
Anderson Silva earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Dan Henderson was submitted.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Dan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 659 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +2 | -2 |
Anderson Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 52 total strikes, 47 vs 20 significant strikes, 79.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Anderson Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Dan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:36 | 3:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 273 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Anderson Silva edged out Dan Henderson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:36 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Dan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 300 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -17 |
Anderson Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anderson Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Henderson's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Dan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 204 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -13 |
Anderson Silva continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Dan Henderson's now at 0.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Dan Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 133 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.