February 10, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 298 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Anderson Silva's 12-fight experience advantage (22 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anderson Silva for the expected result. Had Derek Brunson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 342 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 518 | 1 391 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Anderson Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 398 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Derek Brunson controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (118 vs 54 total strikes), significant strike advantage (54 vs 43). However, since Derek Brunson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Anderson Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 334 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Anderson Silva did not secure a significant ground advantage against Derek Brunson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 387 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -10 |
Anderson Silva demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Anderson Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Derek Brunson's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 483 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -5 |
Anderson Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Derek Brunson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Derek Brunson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 182 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.