October 12, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 428 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (16 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 465 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 737 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -5 |
Anderson Silva earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 799 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
Anderson Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 12 significant strikes, 70.4% vs 27.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Anderson Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 2:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 572 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Anderson Silva landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 329 |
| Activity ELO | 1 493 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -7 |
Anderson Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anderson Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Stephan Bonnar's 329-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 16 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 628 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -2 |
Anderson Silva extended his incredible 16-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Stephan Bonnar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 273 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.