April 17, 2009
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 325 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Anderson Silva's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Anderson Silva for the expected result. Had Thales Leites pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 348 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -8 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Anderson Silva captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 584 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Anderson Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 698 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Anderson Silva dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 18 total strikes, 94 vs 10 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 18.5% accuracy. Anderson Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:45 | 2:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 24 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 349 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Anderson Silva controlled Thales Leites on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:45 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 364 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -12 |
Anderson Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anderson Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Thales Leites's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 9 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 321 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -12 |
Anderson Silva continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Thales Leites's now at 0.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 178 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.