February 2, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 186 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -19 |
Anderson Silva overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Travis Lutter.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 139 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 359 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -15 |
Anderson Silva earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Travis Lutter was submitted.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 503 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
Anderson Silva slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 81.8% vs 50.0% accuracy. Anderson Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 4:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 141 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Anderson Silva edged out Travis Lutter on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:26 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 156 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -14 |
Anderson Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Anderson Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Travis Lutter's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 092 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Anderson Silva extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Travis Lutter is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Anderson Silva | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.