September 18, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 132 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Andre Ewell's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andre Ewell for the expected result. Had Irwin Rivera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 029 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Andre Ewell receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 123 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 299 | 176 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 124 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Andre Ewell controlled the striking exchanges with 124 vs 85 total strikes, 123 vs 81 significant strikes. Andre Ewell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:48 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 939 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Andre Ewell did not secure a significant ground advantage against Irwin Rivera on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:48 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 42 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Andre Ewell demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Andre Ewell capitalized on this activity level, while Irwin Rivera's 42-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 062 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Andre Ewell extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Irwin Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.