October 11, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Marlon Vera's 9-fight experience advantage (13 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marlon Vera for the expected result. Had Andre Ewell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:17 | 3:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 007 | 1 317 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +30 |
Marlon Vera gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 133 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 967 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Marlon Vera controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 67 total strikes, 80 vs 50 significant strikes, 60.2% vs 38.2% accuracy. Marlon Vera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:33 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 879 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Marlon Vera controlled Andre Ewell on the ground with 1:12 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +31 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Ewell's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 015 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +31 |
Marlon Vera continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Andre Ewell's now at 0.
| Metric | Andre Ewell | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.