Andre Fialho vs Jake Matthews

June 10, 2022

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1064
(-35)
Andre Fialho
Winner: Jake Matthews
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:24

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andre Fialho-35
Jake Matthews+41
1190
(+41)
Jake Matthews

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -21Jake Matthews: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJake Matthews
Total UFC Fights416
Experience Gap-1212
Experience ELO1 0421 200
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Jake Matthews's 12-fight experience advantage (16 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Matthews for the expected result. Had Andre Fialho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -17Jake Matthews: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJake Matthews
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0101 104
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -38Jake Matthews: +79

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJake Matthews
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:242:24
Win Type ELO1 1501 297
ELO Change-38+79
💡

What Happened

Jake Matthews gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -105Jake Matthews: +105

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJake Matthews
Significant Strikes Landed1847
Significant Strikes Attempted5189
Total Strikes Landed1947
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0671 291
ELO Change-105+105
💡

What Happened

Jake Matthews controlled the striking exchanges with 47 vs 19 total strikes, 47 vs 18 significant strikes, 52.8% vs 35.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jake Matthews capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -49Jake Matthews: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJake Matthews
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 0511 170
ELO Change-49+49
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -20Jake Matthews: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJake Matthews
Days Since Last Fight35462
Activity ELO1 1621 215
ELO Change-20+18
💡

What Happened

Jake Matthews demonstrated extended layoff with 462 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Fialho's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -16Jake Matthews: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJake Matthews
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0181 137
ELO Change-16+17
💡

What Happened

Jake Matthews started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Fialho is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -17Jake Matthews: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJake Matthews
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0101 104
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.