Andre Fialho vs Joaquin Buckley

May 19, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1006
(-32)
Andre Fialho
Winner: Joaquin Buckley
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andre Fialho-32
Joaquin Buckley+39
1101
(+39)
Joaquin Buckley

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -30Joaquin Buckley: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Total UFC Fights610
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9951 072
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Joaquin Buckley's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joaquin Buckley for the expected result. Had Andre Fialho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -19Joaquin Buckley: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9741 038
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -43Joaquin Buckley: +89

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:154:15
Win Type ELO1 0781 198
ELO Change-43+89
💡

What Happened

Joaquin Buckley gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -68Joaquin Buckley: +68

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Significant Strikes Landed2226
Significant Strikes Attempted5189
Total Strikes Landed2227
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9451 164
ELO Change-68+68
💡

What Happened

Joaquin Buckley controlled the striking exchanges with 29.2% vs 43.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joaquin Buckley capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -33Joaquin Buckley: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:070:23
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9751 049
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Joaquin Buckley edged out Andre Fialho on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:23 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -20Joaquin Buckley: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Days Since Last Fight182161
Activity ELO1 1231 191
ELO Change-20+35
💡

What Happened

Joaquin Buckley demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joaquin Buckley capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Fialho's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -19Joaquin Buckley: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9851 059
ELO Change-19+21
💡

What Happened

Joaquin Buckley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Fialho is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -19Joaquin Buckley: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoJoaquin Buckley
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9741 038
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.