January 21, 2022
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Michel Pereira's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michel Pereira for the expected result. Had Andre Fialho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 983 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Michel Pereira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 107 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 135 | 202 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 112 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 973 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Michel Pereira dominated the striking exchanges with 112 vs 48 total strikes, 107 vs 45 significant strikes, 53.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Michel Pereira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 984 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Michel Pereira did not secure a significant ground advantage against Andre Fialho on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:44 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Michel Pereira demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michel Pereira capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Fialho's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
Michel Pereira extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Fialho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Michel Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

