April 15, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Miguel Baeza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 035 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -45 |
Andre Fialho overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Miguel Baeza.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Miguel Baeza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Miguel Baeza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:39 | 4:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 127 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +144 | -67 |
Andre Fialho earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Miguel Baeza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 115 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +142 | -142 |
Andre Fialho controlled the striking exchanges with 32 vs 24 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 41.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Andre Fialho capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Miguel Baeza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 056 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Miguel Baeza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -25 |
Andre Fialho demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Andre Fialho capitalized on this activity level, while Miguel Baeza's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Miguel Baeza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Andre Fialho started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Miguel Baeza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Miguel Baeza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.