November 18, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Muslim Salikhov's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Muslim Salikhov for the expected result. Had Andre Fialho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:03 | 1:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +58 |
Muslim Salikhov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 013 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Muslim Salikhov controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 29 total strikes, 56 vs 17 significant strikes, 58.9% vs 25.8% accuracy. Muslim Salikhov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 3:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 008 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Muslim Salikhov controlled Andre Fialho on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:07 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +38 |
Muslim Salikhov demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Muslim Salikhov capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Fialho's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +16 |
Muslim Salikhov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Fialho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Fialho | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 993 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.