Andre Fialho vs Tim Means

September 22, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

977
(-29)
Andre Fialho
Winner: Tim Means
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 1:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Andre Fialho-29
Tim Means+34
1130
(+34)
Tim Means

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -31Tim Means: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoTim Means
Total UFC Fights728
Experience Gap-2121
Experience ELO9641 034
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Tim Means's 21-fight experience advantage (28 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Andre Fialho pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -18Tim Means: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoTim Means
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9561 044
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -25Tim Means: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoTim Means
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:151:15
Win Type ELO1 0531 281
ELO Change-25+49
💡

What Happened

Tim Means gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -69Tim Means: +69

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoTim Means
Significant Strikes Landed51104
Significant Strikes Attempted103143
Total Strikes Landed56134
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO8761 202
ELO Change-69+69
💡

What Happened

Tim Means dominated the striking exchanges with 134 vs 56 total strikes, 104 vs 51 significant strikes, 72.7% vs 49.5% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -41Tim Means: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoTim Means
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time0:482:51
Ground Strikes Landed018
Ground ELO9341 114
ELO Change-41+41
💡

What Happened

Tim Means controlled Andre Fialho on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:51 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -16Tim Means: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoTim Means
Days Since Last Fight126133
Activity ELO1 1071 241
ELO Change-16+32
💡

What Happened

Tim Means demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Fialho's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -16Tim Means: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoTim Means
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9691 084
ELO Change-16+18
💡

What Happened

Tim Means started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Fialho is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Andre Fialho: -18Tim Means: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAndre FialhoTim Means
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9561 043
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.