September 16, 2022
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Andre Fili's 13-fight experience advantage (19 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Andre Fili for the expected result. Had Bill Algeo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 100 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Andre Fili receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 142 | 170 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 151 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Bill Algeo controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (151 vs 67 total strikes), significant strike advantage (81 vs 59). However, since Bill Algeo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Andre Fili's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:18 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 025 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Andre Fili edged out Bill Algeo on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:18 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 185 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Andre Fili demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Andre Fili capitalized on this activity level, while Bill Algeo's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Andre Fili started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Bill Algeo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.