March 20, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Godofredo Pepey's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Godofredo Pepey for the expected result. Had Andre Fili pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:14 | 3:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 041 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +71 |
Godofredo Pepey earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 032 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Godofredo Pepey slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 25.0% vs 16.7% accuracy. Godofredo Pepey capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:10 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 001 | 997 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Godofredo Pepey edged out Andre Fili on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 012 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Godofredo Pepey demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Godofredo Pepey capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Fili's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Godofredo Pepey extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Fili is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.