February 22, 2025
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 19 | -19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +84 |
Melquizael Costa overcame a 19-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andre Fili.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:30 | 4:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 096 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +81 |
Melquizael Costa earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Melquizael Costa controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 7 total strikes, 27 vs 7 significant strikes, 48.2% vs 29.2% accuracy. Melquizael Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 188 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +39 |
Melquizael Costa demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Melquizael Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Fili's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Melquizael Costa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Fili is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.