August 24, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Michael Johnson's 7-fight experience advantage (18 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Johnson for the expected result. Had Andre Fili pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 122 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Michael Johnson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 116 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 088 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Michael Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 40 total strikes, 65 vs 37 significant strikes, 56.0% vs 31.6% accuracy. Michael Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:21 | 1:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 076 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Michael Johnson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Andre Fili on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:30 of control time, 6 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 223 |
| Activity ELO | 1 147 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Michael Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 223 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michael Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Andre Fili's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Michael Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andre Fili is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

