March 15, 2025
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Lima | Daniel Barez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Daniel Barez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Daniel Barez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:05 | 3:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 113 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -36 |
Andre Lima earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:05, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Daniel Barez was submitted.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Daniel Barez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 108 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 159 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 161 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Andre Lima dominated the striking exchanges with 161 vs 34 total strikes, 108 vs 33 significant strikes, 67.9% vs 41.8% accuracy. Andre Lima capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Daniel Barez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:50 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 193 | 878 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Andre Lima dominated Daniel Barez on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 4:50 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Daniel Barez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 141 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Andre Lima demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Andre Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Barez's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Daniel Barez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 095 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -17 |
Andre Lima extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Barez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Daniel Barez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.