March 22, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Lima | Igor Severino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Igor Severino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Igor Severino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:52 | 2:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -10 |
The fight concluded with Andre Lima earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Igor Severino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Igor Severino controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (36 vs 30). However, since Igor Severino lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Andre Lima's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Igor Severino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 3:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Andre Lima did not secure a significant ground advantage against Igor Severino on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:24 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Igor Severino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Andre Lima demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Andre Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Igor Severino's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Igor Severino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Andre Lima started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Igor Severino is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Igor Severino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

