May 31, 2024
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Andre Lima | Mitch Raposo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Mitch Raposo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Mitch Raposo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 021 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Andre Lima receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Mitch Raposo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 053 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Andre Lima controlled the striking exchanges with 52 vs 32 total strikes, 51 vs 32 significant strikes, 51.0% vs 42.1% accuracy. Andre Lima capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Mitch Raposo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 046 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Mitch Raposo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -20 |
Andre Lima demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Andre Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Mitch Raposo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Mitch Raposo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Andre Lima extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mitch Raposo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Andre Lima | Mitch Raposo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

